DOLOW, Somalia — Ethiopian troops have reportedly crossed into Somalia’s Gedo region, engaging in significant military activities around the Dolow district, according to local sources. The incursion has sparked concerns over potential escalations in an already volatile area.
Residents in Dolow have reported that Ethiopian forces, equipped with military vehicles, are conducting thorough searches of individuals and vehicles. These operations, which extend to the border areas between Somalia and Ethiopia, appear to be part of a broader strategic move by Ethiopia.
The specifics of the Ethiopian military’s objectives remain unclear, but local accounts suggest that the troops are not only focusing on security checks but are also setting up temporary military outposts. This development follows recent reports of increased Ethiopian military presence near the border, which has been a point of contention in the past.
This military movement comes at a time of heightened tension between Somalia’s federal government in Mogadishu and the semi-autonomous Jubbaland state, which has its capital in Kismayo.
The relationship between the two has been strained over issues of autonomy, resource sharing, and security responsibilities. Jubbaland has often viewed Ethiopian military involvement with suspicion, fearing that it might bolster federal government control at the expense of regional autonomy.
The Ethiopian operations in Gedo are particularly sensitive because the region is strategically located near the borders with both Ethiopia and Kenya, and it has been a focal point for al-Shabaab, the al-Qaida-linked insurgent group. The presence of Ethiopian troops could be interpreted as an effort to combat al-Shabaab or to assert influence in an area where multiple actors vie for control.
Political analysts are expressing concern that these actions could lead to a direct confrontation between Ethiopian forces and local militias or even Jubbaland’s own security forces, potentially destabilizing the region further.
The federal government of Somalia has yet to comment officially on the situation, but there’s an expectation that a response or mediation efforts might soon be forthcoming, possibly through regional bodies like the African Union or the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD).
Residents in the area are anxious, with some expressing fears of becoming caught in the middle of escalating military actions. The region has seen its share of conflict, and any increase in military activity could lead to displacement or further complicate humanitarian access to an already struggling populace.
As the situation develops, international observers are closely monitoring the potential for this to ignite larger regional conflicts, especially given the complex web of alliances and rivalries in the Horn of Africa.